Exeter City 2-1 Carlisle
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: J. Brown 7.6 · A. Hartridge 7.5 · J. Caprice 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections14:56Exeter City beat Carlisle 2-1 in the League Two matchday 17 on 20 November 2021.
Read more ›Close
Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Exeter City scored first, in the 60th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 60' S. Nombe, assisted by J. Grounds → 1-0; 80' J. Caprice, assisted by J. Brown → 2-0; 84' J. Gibson, assisted by B. Dickenson → 2-1.
Jon Mellish (Carlisle) was sent off in the 43rd minute; yellow cards: Exeter City 0, Carlisle 1.
Statistical comparison
Shots 13-11 (4-6 on target); possession 62%-38%; corners 3-7; pass accuracy 75%-51%.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 2-1 in the second.
Standout players
J. Brown was Exeter City's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 90 minutes: 1 assist, 1 shot on target, 6 key passes, 2 tackles, won 6 of 13 duels.
B. Dickenson was Carlisle's highest-rated player at 7.3 in 90 minutes: 1 assist, 2 shots on target, 2 key passes, 3 tackles, won 8 of 15 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Exeter City vs Carlisle (League Two matchday 17, 20 November 2021) finished 2-1. Goals: S. Nombe 60', J. Caprice 80', J. Gibson 84'. Match stats: possession Exeter City 62%, Carlisle 38%; shots on target 4-6.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.