Excelsior 3-1 Heracles
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: R. Koolwijk 7.6 · V. Vermeij 7.5 · T. Muyters 7.4
Match analysis
5 sections10:3810 September 2016: the Eredivisie matchday 5 match ended Excelsior 3-1 Heracles.
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Result and story of the match
It was 3-0 at half-time. Excelsior scored first, in the 1st minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 1' K. Karami, assisted by N. Hasselbaink → 1-0; 19' R. Koolwijk, assisted by L. Bruins → 2-0; 22' Fredy, assisted by K. Vermeulen → 3-0; 66' V. Vermeij → 3-1.
Yellow cards: Excelsior 3, Heracles 2.
Statistical comparison
Shots 8-8 (5-6 on target); possession 34%-66%; corners 6-9; pass accuracy 74%-84%.
Goals by half: 3-0 in the first, 0-1 in the second.
Standout players
R. Koolwijk was Excelsior's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, won 7 of 9 duels.
V. Vermeij was Heracles's highest-rated player at 7.5 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, 1 key pass, won 6 of 14 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Excelsior beat Heracles 3-1 in the Eredivisie matchday 5 on 10 September 2016. Goals: K. Karami 1', R. Koolwijk 19', Fredy 22', V. Vermeij 66'. Match stats: possession Excelsior 34%, Heracles 66%; shots on target 5-6.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.