Excelsior 1-3 Heracles
Model accuracy
Match stats
Starting XIs
Line-ups ›Standouts: I. Bel Hassani 8.3 · T. Bruns 8.1 · B. Kuwas 8.0
Match analysis
5 sections14:499 April 2016: the Eredivisie matchday 30 match ended Excelsior 1-3 Heracles.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-2 at half-time. Heracles scored first, in the 6th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 6' W. Weghorst, assisted by T. Bruns → 0-1; 37' W. Weghorst, assisted by I. Bel Hassani → 0-2; 46' B. Kuwas → 1-2; 60' R. Zomer, assisted by J. Navrátil → 1-3.
Yellow cards: Excelsior 2, Heracles 0.
Statistical comparison
Shots 12-14 (4-5 on target); possession 57%-43%; corners 12-8; pass accuracy 77%-72%.
Goals by half: 0-2 in the first, 1-1 in the second.
Standout players
B. Kuwas was Excelsior's highest-rated player at 8.0 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 4 shots on target, 1 key pass, won 10 of 20 duels.
I. Bel Hassani was Heracles's highest-rated player at 8.3 in 90 minutes: 1 assist, 7 key passes, won 3 of 9 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Excelsior lost to Heracles 1-3 in the Eredivisie matchday 30 on 9 April 2016. Goals: W. Weghorst 6', W. Weghorst 37', B. Kuwas 46', R. Zomer 60'. Match stats: possession Excelsior 57%, Heracles 43%; shots on target 4-5.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.