Excelsior 1-2 Heracles
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: T. Jansink 8.9 · S. van Gassel 8.3 · W. Ould-Chikh 8.3
Match analysis
5 sections04:338 November 2025: the Eredivisie matchday 12 match ended Excelsior 1-2 Heracles.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Heracles came from behind in the second half to win. Excelsior scored first, in the 8th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 8' N. Naujoks, assisted by I. Yegoian → 1-0; 60' W. Ould Chikh, assisted by J. Hornkamp → 1-1; 79' L. Kulenovic, assisted by A. Hrustic → 1-2.
Yellow cards: Excelsior 1, Heracles 2.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Excelsior 2.03, Heracles 1.34; shots 12-10 (5-5 on target); possession 45%-55%; corners 6-13; pass accuracy 71%-76%.
Excelsior created the better chances, but the scoreline did not reflect it.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 0-2 in the second.
Standout players
S. van Gassel was Excelsior's highest-rated player at 8.3 in 90 minutes: 3 saves, won 1 of 1 duels.
T. Jansink was Heracles's highest-rated player at 8.9 in 90 minutes: 4 saves.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
8 November 2025: the Eredivisie matchday 12 match ended Excelsior 1-2 Heracles. Goals: N. Naujoks 8', W. Ould Chikh 60', L. Kulenovic 79'. Match stats: possession Excelsior 45%, Heracles 55%; shots on target 5-5; expected goals (xG) 2.03-1.34.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.