Excelsior 4-0 Heracles
Eredivisie · Matchweek 33Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: L. Duijvestijn 9.9 · C. Driouech 9.3 · T. Parrott 8.3
Match analysis
5 sections15:2812 May 2024: the Eredivisie matchday 33 match ended Excelsior 4-0 Heracles.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Excelsior scored first, in the 45th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 45+3' T. Parrott, assisted by L. Duijvestijn → 1-0; 66' T. Parrott, assisted by C. Driouech → 2-0; 67' C. Driouech, assisted by L. Duijvestijn → 3-0; 90+5' C. Driouech, assisted by L. Duijvestijn → 4-0.
Yellow cards: Excelsior 3, Heracles 3.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Excelsior 3.35, Heracles 0.41; shots 19-6 (9-0 on target); possession 60%-40%; corners 7-4; pass accuracy 84%-74%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 2.94.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 3-0 in the second.
Standout players
L. Duijvestijn was Excelsior's highest-rated player at 9.9 in 90 minutes: 3 assists, 1 shot on target, 7 key passes, 1 tackle, won 4 of 7 duels.
M. Brouwer was Heracles's highest-rated player at 7.3 in 90 minutes: 5 saves.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Excelsior beat Heracles 4-0 in the Eredivisie matchday 33 on 12 May 2024. Goals: T. Parrott 45+3', T. Parrott 66', C. Driouech 67', C. Driouech 90+5'. Match stats: possession Excelsior 60%, Heracles 40%; shots on target 9-0; expected goals (xG) 3.35-0.41.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.