Everton 1-1 Wolves
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Y. Mosquera 7.5 · M. Mane 7.5 · J. Garner 7.3
Match analysis
5 sections11:407 January 2026: the Premier League matchday 21 match ended Everton 1-1 Wolves.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Wolves levelled after the break. Everton scored first, in the 17th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 17' M. Keane, assisted by T. Iroegbunam → 1-0; 69' M. Mane, assisted by J. S. Larsen → 1-1.
Michael Keane (Everton) was sent off in the 83rd minute; Jack Grealish (Everton) was sent off in the 90th minute; VAR intervened 1 time; yellow cards: Everton 3, Wolves 3.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Everton 0.89, Wolves 0.68; shots 13-12 (2-4 on target); possession 45%-55%; corners 2-7; pass accuracy 82%-85%.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 0-1 in the second.
Standout players
J. Garner was Everton's highest-rated player at 7.3 in 90 minutes: 1 shot on target, 2 key passes, 2 tackles, won 3 of 5 duels.
M. Mane was Wolves's highest-rated player at 7.5 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, 1 tackle, won 5 of 12 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
7 January 2026: the Premier League matchday 21 match ended Everton 1-1 Wolves. Goals: M. Keane 17', M. Mane 69'. Match stats: possession Everton 45%, Wolves 55%; shots on target 2-4; expected goals (xG) 0.89-0.68.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.