Everton 3-2 Tottenham
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: I. Gueye 8.2 · J. Lindstrøm 7.9 · O. Mangala 7.7
Match analysis
5 sections06:3219 January 2025: the Premier League matchday 22 match ended Everton 3-2 Tottenham.
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Result and story of the match
It was 3-0 at half-time. Everton scored first, in the 13th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 13' D. Calvert-Lewin, assisted by I. Gueye → 1-0; 30' I. Ndiaye, assisted by I. Gueye → 2-0; 45+7' A. Gray (own goal) → 2-1; 77' D. Kulusevski → 2-2; 90+2' Richarlison, assisted by M. Moore → 2-3.
Yellow cards: Everton 2, Tottenham 1.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Everton 1.95, Tottenham 1.12; shots 12-11 (6-6 on target); possession 35%-65%; corners 3-8; pass accuracy 83%-86%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 0.83.
Goals by half: 3-0 in the first, 0-2 in the second.
Standout players
I. Gueye was Everton's highest-rated player at 8.2 in 90 minutes: 2 assists, 2 key passes, 3 tackles, won 7 of 9 duels.
D. Kulusevski was Tottenham's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 5 key passes, 1 tackle, won 4 of 14 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
19 January 2025: the Premier League matchday 22 match ended Everton 3-2 Tottenham. Goals: D. Calvert-Lewin 13', I. Ndiaye 30', A. Gray 45+7' (o.g.), D. Kulusevski 77', Richarlison 90+2'. Match stats: possession Everton 35%, Tottenham 65%; shots on target 6-6; expected goals (xG) 1.95-1.12.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.