Everton 1-0 Bournemouth
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: J. Tarkowski 7.7 · I. Gueye 7.7 · Y. Mina 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections21:3828 May 2023: the Premier League matchday 38 match ended Everton 1-0 Bournemouth.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Everton scored first, in the 57th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 57' A. Doucouré → 1-0.
Yellow cards: Everton 1, Bournemouth 3.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Everton 1.04, Bournemouth 0.47; shots 13-7 (6-2 on target); possession 38%-62%; corners 9-3; pass accuracy 73%-84%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 0.57.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
J. Tarkowski was Everton's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 90 minutes: 3 tackles, won 12 of 16 duels.
M. Travers was Bournemouth's highest-rated player at 7.5 in 90 minutes: 5 saves, won 1 of 1 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
28 May 2023: the Premier League matchday 38 match ended Everton 1-0 Bournemouth. Goals: A. Doucouré 57'. Match stats: possession Everton 38%, Bournemouth 62%; shots on target 6-2; expected goals (xG) 1.04-0.47.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.