Everton 2-1 Arsenal
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Richarlison 8.0 · M. Ødegaard 8.0 · B. Saka 7.3
Match analysis
5 sections18:046 December 2021: the Premier League matchday 15 match ended Everton 2-1 Arsenal.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-1 at half-time. Everton came from behind in the second half to win. Arsenal scored first, in the 45th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 45+2' M. Ødegaard, assisted by K. Tierney → 0-1; 80' Richarlison → 1-1; 90+2' D. Gray, assisted by André Gomes → 2-1.
VAR intervened 3 times; yellow cards: Everton 2, Arsenal 2.
Statistical comparison
Shots 11-10 (5-3 on target); possession 36%-64%; corners 3-3; pass accuracy 69%-83%.
Goals by half: 0-1 in the first, 2-0 in the second.
Standout players
Richarlison was Everton's highest-rated player at 8.0 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 4 key passes, 3 tackles, won 8 of 17 duels.
M. Ødegaard was Arsenal's highest-rated player at 8.0 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 4 key passes, 2 tackles, won 4 of 8 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
6 December 2021: the Premier League matchday 15 match ended Everton 2-1 Arsenal. Goals: M. Ødegaard 45+2', Richarlison 80', D. Gray 90+2'. Match stats: possession Everton 36%, Arsenal 64%; shots on target 5-3.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.