Estoril 2-1 Maritimo
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Miguel Crespo 7.9 · Bruno Lourenço 7.5 · Chiquinho 7.3
Match analysis
5 sections18:29Estoril beat Maritimo 2-1 in the Primeira Liga matchday 4 on 27 August 2021.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Estoril scored first, in the 28th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 28' Miguel Crespo, assisted by Bruno Lourenço → 1-0; 45' Cláudio Winck, assisted by A. Alipour → 1-1; 59' Chiquinho, assisted by Bruno Lourenço → 2-1.
Yellow cards: Estoril 7, Maritimo 6.
Statistical comparison
Shots 9-7 (3-2 on target); possession 41%-59%; corners 1-4; pass accuracy 71%-82%.
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
Miguel Crespo was Estoril's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, 4 tackles, won 15 of 25 duels.
Bruno Xadas was Maritimo's highest-rated player at 7.3 in 90 minutes: 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, 1 tackle, won 10 of 17 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Estoril beat Maritimo 2-1 in the Primeira Liga matchday 4 on 27 August 2021. Goals: Miguel Crespo 28', Cláudio Winck 45', Chiquinho 59'. Match stats: possession Estoril 41%, Maritimo 59%; shots on target 3-2.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.