Espanyol 1-3 Elche
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Standouts: Germán Valera 8.9 · Fer Niño 8.5 · Edu Expósito 7.9
Match analysis
5 sections06:4718 September 2026: the LaLiga matchday 7 match ended Espanyol 1-3 Elche.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-2 at half-time. Elche scored first, in the 26th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 26' F. Nino, assisted by R. Revivo → 0-1; 29' F. Nino, assisted by R. Revivo → 0-2; 72' V. Chust (own goal) → 0-3; 78' G. Valera, assisted by Tete Morente → 0-4.
Federico Redondo (Elche) was sent off in the 6th minute; VAR intervened 1 time; yellow cards: Espanyol 2, Elche 2.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Espanyol 1.05, Elche 1.61; shots 23-9 (4-6 on target); possession 66%-34%; corners 3-3; pass accuracy 88%-68%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 0.56.
Goals by half: 0-2 in the first, 1-1 in the second.
Standout players
Edu Expósito was Espanyol's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 6 key passes, 4 tackles, won 7 of 12 duels.
Germán Valera was Elche's highest-rated player at 8.9 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, 3 tackles, won 9 of 11 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Espanyol 49%, draw 26%, Elche 25%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
18 September 2026: the LaLiga matchday 7 match ended Espanyol 1-3 Elche. Goals: F. Nino 26', F. Nino 29', V. Chust 72' (o.g.), G. Valera 78'. Match stats: possession Espanyol 66%, Elche 34%; shots on target 4-6; expected goals (xG) 1.05-1.61.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.