Enköping 3-1 Piteå
Ettan - Norra · Norra - 28Model accuracy
Locked 25 Oct 06:11The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Line-ups and absences
usually −60 minMatch analysis
5 sections03:42Enköping beat Piteå 3-1 in the Ettan - Norra on 25 October 2026.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Enköping scored first, in the 30th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 30' L. Nwafor → 1-0; 60' F. Johansson (penalty) → 1-1; 74' L. Nwafor → 2-1; 90+1' L. Nwafor → 3-1.
Yellow cards: Enköping 2, Piteå 1.
Statistical comparison
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 2-1 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: L. Nwafor, F. Johansson.
How the model did
The locked pre-match statistical model estimate gives Enköping a 54% (80% interval 48%–61%) chance of winning; draw 22%, Piteå 23%. Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (8%). Expected goals in the model: Enköping 1.94, Piteå 1.18. Chance of 3+ goals: 58%; both teams to score: 57%.
The model's most likely outcome was Enköping win (54%); the actual result was Enköping win (54%). The outcome call was a hit. Its most likely score was 1-1 (worth 0 points under our prediction game rules).
Scoring rule: each match is graded on the last estimate locked before kick-off, which cannot be changed afterwards.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Enköping beat Piteå 3-1 in the Ettan - Norra on 25 October 2026. Goals: L. Nwafor 30', F. Johansson 60' (pen), L. Nwafor 74', L. Nwafor 90+1'. The locked pre-match statistical model estimate gives Enköping a 54% (80% interval 48%–61%) chance of winning; draw 22%, Piteå 23%. The outcome call was a hit.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.