Emmen 1-1 Roda
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: C. Østergaard 8.2 · F. Evina 7.9 · I. Griffith 7.7
Match analysis
5 sections14:3222 November 2025: the Eerste Divisie matchday 16 match ended Emmen 1-1 Roda.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-0 at half-time. Roda levelled after the break. Emmen scored first, in the 17th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 17' F. Evina, assisted by L. Larsen → 1-0; 53' I. Griffith, assisted by M. Tol → 1-1.
Yellow cards: Emmen 1, Roda 1.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Emmen 0.87, Roda 2.94; shots 11-17 (4-6 on target); possession 44%-56%; corners 3-3; pass accuracy 82%-86%.
Roda created the better chances, but the scoreline did not reflect it.
Goals by half: 1-0 in the first, 0-1 in the second.
Standout players
C. Østergaard was Emmen's highest-rated player at 8.2 in 90 minutes: 2 tackles, won 3 of 7 duels.
I. Griffith was Roda's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 76 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 2 key passes, 2 tackles, won 2 of 6 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
22 November 2025: the Eerste Divisie matchday 16 match ended Emmen 1-1 Roda. Goals: F. Evina 17', I. Griffith 53'. Match stats: possession Emmen 44%, Roda 56%; shots on target 4-6; expected goals (xG) 0.87-2.94.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.