Elche 1-3 Numancia
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Ruíz de Galarreta 7.9 · Borja Valle 7.6 · Álex 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections21:20Elche lost to Numancia 1-3 in the Segunda División matchday 34 on 15 April 2017.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-1 at half-time. Numancia scored first, in the 41st minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 41' Ruiz de Galarreta → 0-1; 50' Nacho → 0-2; 73' Borja Valle → 1-2; 90+2' Unai Medina (penalty) → 1-3.
Edu Albacar (Elche) was sent off in the 90th minute; yellow cards: Elche 2, Numancia 4.
Statistical comparison
Shots 10-13 (4-6 on target); possession 56%-44%; corners 4-2; pass accuracy 71%-66%.
Goals by half: 0-1 in the first, 1-2 in the second.
Standout players
Borja Valle was Elche's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, won 7 of 16 duels.
Ruíz de Galarreta was Numancia's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, won 13 of 23 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Elche vs Numancia (Segunda División matchday 34, 15 April 2017) finished 1-3. Goals: Ruiz de Galarreta 41', Nacho 50', Borja Valle 73', Unai Medina 90+2' (pen). Match stats: possession Elche 56%, Numancia 44%; shots on target 4-6.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.