Ekranas 1-4 BFA
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Line-ups and absences
usually −60 minMatch analysis
5 sections16:0119 July 2026: the 1 Lyga matchday 16 match ended Ekranas 1-4 BFA.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-3 at half-time. BFA scored first, in the 11th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 11' L. Korvel → 0-1; 28' D. Misiunas → 0-2; 41' D. Misiunas → 0-3; 55' S. R. Patella → 1-3; 90' D. Gelombickas → 1-4.
I. Anistratenko (Ekranas) was sent off in the 60th minute; yellow cards: Ekranas 1, BFA 0.
Statistical comparison
Goals by half: 0-3 in the first, 1-1 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: L. Korvel, D. Misiunas, S. R. Patella, D. Gelombickas.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Ekranas 32%, draw 25%, BFA 43%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Ekranas lost to BFA 1-4 in the 1 Lyga matchday 16 on 19 July 2026. Goals: L. Korvel 11', D. Misiunas 28', D. Misiunas 41', S. R. Patella 55', D. Gelombickas 90'.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.