Durango 5-0 Tapatío
Liga de Expansión MX · Apertura - 13Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Starting XIs
Line-ups ›Match analysis
5 sections06:1318 October 2026: the Liga de Expansión MX match ended Durango 5-0 Tapatío.
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Result and story of the match
It was 2-0 at half-time. Durango scored first, in the 2nd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 2' L. Gutierrez → 1-0; 38' J. I. Reyes Olguin → 2-0; 68' J. Angulo → 3-0; 74' S. Esparza (own goal) → 3-1; 89' A. Garcia → 4-1.
Yellow cards: Durango 2, Tapatío 3.
Statistical comparison
Goals by half: 2-0 in the first, 3-0 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: L. Gutierrez, J. I. Reyes Olguin, J. Angulo, A. Garcia.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Durango 40%, draw 25%, Tapatío 35%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Durango beat Tapatío 5-0 in the Liga de Expansión MX on 18 October 2026. Goals: L. Gutierrez 2', J. I. Reyes Olguin 38', J. Angulo 68', S. Esparza 74' (o.g.), A. Garcia 89'.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.