Dila 3-1 Virtus
Conference League · Qualifying · Round 1Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Starting XIs
Line-ups ›Match analysis
5 sections11:59Dila beat Virtus 3-1 in the UEFA Conference League on 9 July 2026.
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Result and story of the match
It was 2-1 at half-time. Virtus scored first, in the 3rd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 3' S. Benincasa, assisted by A. Golinucci → 0-1; 8' S. Shekiladze, assisted by B. Gogoberishvili → 1-1; 14' B. Anoff → 2-1; 68' M. Kante, assisted by S. Shekiladze → 3-1.
Yellow cards: Dila 2, Virtus 2.
Statistical comparison
Goals by half: 2-1 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: S. Benincasa, S. Shekiladze, B. Anoff, M. Kante.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Dila 67%, draw 19%, Virtus 14%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Dila vs Virtus (UEFA Conference League, 9 July 2026) finished 3-1. Goals: S. Benincasa 3', S. Shekiladze 8', B. Anoff 14', M. Kante 68'.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.