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Dila 1-2 Rustavi

Erovnuli Liga · Matchweek 1
Dila
12
Full-timeHT 0-1
Rustavi
84'Fuller
Kessi21'Patsatsia (P)58'
Referee B. BregadzeSat 11 Apr 2026, 15:00

Model accuracy

Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track record

There was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.

The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?

Highlight 1
0–3 goals
76%
Clearleague base 73%calibrated
retrospective hit
Highlight 2
Dila win
64%±8
Notableleague base 41%calibrated
retrospective miss
No third clear market here; weak estimates are not added.
Match result · DIL 64% · X 23% · RUS 13%Predicted score 2-0 · Most likely: 1-0 16% · 2-0 14% · 1-1 10%All markets ›

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.

All match events

18All ›
Kick-off · 15:00
4'
I. IakobidzeYellow card
21'
0-1S. KessiAssist P. Osei
39'
A. TaliYellow card
Half-time 0-1
50'
V. PatsatsiaYellow card
58'
0-2V. PatsatsiaPenalty
59'
R. A. CompaoreOn · J. Tiboue off
59'
B. AnoffOn · T. Kikabidze off
59'
S. ShekiladzeOn · A. Tali off
64'
Y. NakanoOn · P. Osei off
71'
David OliveiraOn · S. Kessi off
71'
M. PamiOn · K. Ceijas off
73'
T. FullerOn · N. Mali off
74'
M. PamiYellow card
82'
N. KutateladzeOn · Jean off
82'
M. KapanadzeOn · S. Andghuladze off
83'
M. KanteOn · L. Menteshashvili off
84'
T. FullerGoal1-2
90+3'
N. KutateladzeYellow card
Full time 1-2

Match stats

Dila
Rustavi
4
On target
3
%61
Possession
%39
12
Corners
3

Starting XIs

Line-ups ›
Dila
Coach Diego LongoBench 9
Rustavi
Coach Giorgi TsetsadzeBench 9
Your predictionFull time 1-2
DIL
–
RUS
–
Model: 2-0 (14%)
No prediction · Locked 15:00

Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.

Match analysis

5 sections07:10

11 April 2026: the Erovnuli Liga matchday 1 match ended Dila 1-2 Rustavi.

Read more ›Close

Result and story of the match

It was 0-1 at half-time. Rustavi scored first, in the 21st minute.

Goals and key moments

Goals: 21' S. Kessi, assisted by P. Osei → 0-1; 58' V. Patsatsia (penalty) → 0-2; 84' T. Fuller → 1-2.

Yellow cards: Dila 1, Rustavi 4.

Statistical comparison

Possession 61%-39%; corners 12-3.

Goals by half: 0-1 in the first, 1-1 in the second.

Standout players

Goal scorers: S. Kessi, V. Patsatsia, T. Fuller.

How the model did

There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.

Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Dila 64%, draw 23%, Rustavi 13%.

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.

Match summary

Dila lost to Rustavi 1-2 in the Erovnuli Liga matchday 1 on 11 April 2026. Goals: S. Kessi 21', V. Patsatsia 58' (pen), T. Fuller 84'. Match stats: possession Dila 61%, Rustavi 39%; shots on target 4-3.

Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record

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Rustavi · next match