Derby 4-2 Wolves
Championship · Matchweek 11Model accuracy
Match stats
Starting XIs
Line-ups ›Standouts: C. Martin 8.3 · B. Johnson 8.1 · J. Russell 8.1
Match analysis
5 sections22:4518 October 2015: the Championship matchday 11 match ended Derby 4-2 Wolves.
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Result and story of the match
It was 3-1 at half-time. Derby scored first, in the 3rd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 3' C. Martin, assisted by J. Hendrick → 1-0; 19' B. Afobe, assisted by J. Henry → 1-1; 28' C. Martin, assisted by B. Johnson → 2-1; 45+3' B. Johnson, assisted by J. Russell → 3-1; 57' J. Russell → 4-1; 64' A. Le Fondre, assisted by S. Ojo → 4-2.
Yellow cards: Derby 1, Wolves 2.
Statistical comparison
Shots 20-7 (11-2 on target); possession 52%-48%; corners 7-2; pass accuracy 78%-73%.
Goals by half: 3-1 in the first, 1-1 in the second.
Standout players
C. Martin was Derby's highest-rated player at 8.3 in 89 minutes: 2 goals, 4 shots on target, 4 key passes, won 6 of 13 duels.
A. Le Fondre was Wolves's highest-rated player at 7.2 in 83 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, won 1 of 8 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Derby beat Wolves 4-2 in the Championship matchday 11 on 18 October 2015. Goals: C. Martin 3', B. Afobe 19', C. Martin 28', B. Johnson 45+3', J. Russell 57', A. Le Fondre 64'. Match stats: possession Derby 52%, Wolves 48%; shots on target 11-2.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.