Derby 3-1 Wolves
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: J. Russell 9.1 · B. Johnson 7.8 · J. Butterfield 7.7
Match analysis
5 sections02:31Derby beat Wolves 3-1 in the Championship matchday 45 on 29 April 2017.
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Result and story of the match
It was 2-1 at half-time. Derby scored first, in the 12th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 12' D. Nugent, assisted by T. Ince → 1-0; 29' B. Johnson, assisted by J. Russell → 2-0; 45+1' B. Marshall, assisted by N. Dicko → 2-1; 57' C. Bryson, assisted by J. Russell → 3-1.
Ivan Cavaleiro (Wolves) was sent off in the 33rd minute; yellow cards: Derby 1, Wolves 1.
Statistical comparison
Shots 17-7 (6-3 on target); possession 56%-44%; corners 4-2; pass accuracy 80%-72%.
Goals by half: 2-1 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
J. Russell was Derby's highest-rated player at 9.1 in 90 minutes: 2 assists, 1 shot on target, 4 key passes, won 11 of 14 duels.
N. Dicko was Wolves's highest-rated player at 7.4 in 78 minutes: 1 assist, 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, won 10 of 19 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Derby beat Wolves 3-1 in the Championship matchday 45 on 29 April 2017. Goals: D. Nugent 12', B. Johnson 29', B. Marshall 45+1', C. Bryson 57'. Match stats: possession Derby 56%, Wolves 44%; shots on target 6-3.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.