Derby 2-1 Reading
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: S. Aluko 8.3 · H. Wilson 7.9 · D. Holmes 7.8
Match analysis
5 sections07:1419 January 2019: the Championship matchday 28 match ended Derby 2-1 Reading.
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Result and story of the match
It was 2-0 at half-time. Derby scored first, in the 3rd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 3' D. Holmes, assisted by H. Wilson → 1-0; 40' H. Wilson, assisted by M. Waghorn → 2-0; 66' S. Aluko, assisted by O. Ejaria → 2-1.
Yellow cards: Derby 2, Reading 1.
Statistical comparison
Shots 10-9 (4-2 on target); possession 35%-65%; corners 4-3; pass accuracy 66%-82%.
Goals by half: 2-0 in the first, 0-1 in the second.
Standout players
H. Wilson was Derby's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 89 minutes: 1 goal, 1 assist, 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, 1 tackle, won 6 of 12 duels.
S. Aluko was Reading's highest-rated player at 8.3 in 45 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 2 key passes, 4 tackles, won 10 of 13 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Derby beat Reading 2-1 in the Championship matchday 28 on 19 January 2019. Goals: D. Holmes 3', H. Wilson 40', S. Aluko 66'. Match stats: possession Derby 35%, Reading 65%; shots on target 4-2.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.