Derby 0-2 Reading
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Lucas João 8.6 · O. Ejaria 7.7 · Rafael Cabral 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections14:53Derby lost to Reading 0-2 in the Championship matchday 1 on 12 September 2020.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-2 at half-time. Reading scored first, in the 40th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 40' Lucas João, assisted by M. Olise → 0-1; 45+1' O. Ejaria, assisted by Lucas João → 0-2.
Yellow cards: Derby 3, Reading 2.
Statistical comparison
Shots 9-8 (2-3 on target); possession 57%-43%; corners 6-2; pass accuracy 85%-80%.
Goals by half: 0-2 in the first, 0-0 in the second.
Standout players
C. Forsyth was Derby's highest-rated player at 6.7 in 90 minutes: 2 key passes, 1 tackle, won 2 of 7 duels.
Lucas João was Reading's highest-rated player at 8.6 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 assist, 2 shots on target, 2 key passes, won 8 of 18 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Derby vs Reading (Championship matchday 1, 12 September 2020) finished 0-2. Goals: Lucas João 40', O. Ejaria 45+1'. Match stats: possession Derby 57%, Reading 43%; shots on target 2-3.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.