Derby 3-2 Reading
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: W. Hughes 7.9 · L. Kelly 7.9 · D. Bent 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections10:03Derby beat Reading 3-2 in the Championship matchday 27 on 21 January 2017.
Read more ›Close
Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Reading scored first, in the 16th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 16' J. Swift, assisted by L. Kelly → 0-1; 36' D. Bent, assisted by R. Keogh → 1-1; 63' T. Ince, assisted by C. Bryson → 2-1; 74' W. Hughes → 3-1; 80' Y. Meïté, assisted by L. Kelly → 3-2.
Jordan Obita (Reading) was sent off in the 90th minute; yellow cards: Derby 3, Reading 3.
Statistical comparison
Shots 12-13 (3-6 on target); possession 35%-65%; corners 3-3; pass accuracy 70%-82%.
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 2-1 in the second.
Standout players
W. Hughes was Derby's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 2 key passes, won 9 of 15 duels.
L. Kelly was Reading's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 2 assists, 4 key passes, won 4 of 11 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Derby beat Reading 3-2 in the Championship matchday 27 on 21 January 2017. Goals: J. Swift 16', D. Bent 36', T. Ince 63', W. Hughes 74', Y. Meïté 80'. Match stats: possession Derby 35%, Reading 65%; shots on target 3-6.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.