Derby 2-1 Reading
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: T. Lawrence 7.5 · M. Bird 7.1 · A. Rinomhota 7.1
Match analysis
5 sections11:0227 June 2020: the Championship matchday 39 match ended Derby 2-1 Reading.
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Result and story of the match
It was 2-0 at half-time. Derby scored first, in the 44th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 44' T. Lawrence, assisted by L. Sibley → 1-0; 45+3' W. Rooney (penalty) → 2-0; 62' A. Rinomhota → 2-1.
Tom Lawrence (Derby) was sent off in the 90th minute; Matthew Miazga (Reading) was sent off in the 90th minute; yellow cards: Derby 3, Reading 0.
Statistical comparison
Shots 13-12 (6-4 on target); possession 50%-50%; corners 4-8; pass accuracy 84%-85%.
Goals by half: 2-0 in the first, 0-1 in the second.
Standout players
T. Lawrence was Derby's highest-rated player at 7.5 in 95 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, 1 key pass, 2 tackles, won 6 of 14 duels.
A. Rinomhota was Reading's highest-rated player at 7.1 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 1 tackle, won 3 of 7 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
27 June 2020: the Championship matchday 39 match ended Derby 2-1 Reading. Goals: T. Lawrence 44', W. Rooney 45+3' (pen), A. Rinomhota 62'. Match stats: possession Derby 50%, Reading 50%; shots on target 6-4.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.