Derby 2-4 Reading
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: S. Aluko 7.9 · P. McShane 7.8 · R. Beerens 7.7
Match analysis
5 sections06:40Derby lost to Reading 2-4 in the Championship matchday 16 on 4 November 2017.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-2 at half-time. Reading scored first, in the 9th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 9' L. Moore, assisted by P. McShane → 0-1; 13' S. Aluko, assisted by J. Swift → 0-2; 54' R. Beerens → 0-3; 71' J. Russell, assisted by B. Johnson → 1-3; 75' M. Barrow, assisted by D. Edwards → 1-4; 90' C. Martin, assisted by A. Wisdom → 2-4.
Yellow cards: Derby 4, Reading 3.
Statistical comparison
Shots 13-8 (4-5 on target); possession 49%-51%; corners 9-0; pass accuracy 72%-75%.
Goals by half: 0-2 in the first, 2-2 in the second.
Standout players
C. Martin was Derby's highest-rated player at 7.5 in 26 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 2 key passes, won 3 of 6 duels.
S. Aluko was Reading's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 53 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, won 5 of 7 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Derby vs Reading (Championship matchday 16, 4 November 2017) finished 2-4. Goals: L. Moore 9', S. Aluko 13', R. Beerens 54', J. Russell 71', M. Barrow 75', C. Martin 90'. Match stats: possession Derby 49%, Reading 51%; shots on target 4-5.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.