Derby 2-1 Reading
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: D. Gayle 7.9 · C. Hourihane 7.7 · T. Barkhuizen 7.3
Match analysis
5 sections13:3412 March 2024: the League One matchday 38 match ended Derby 2-1 Reading.
Read more ›Close
Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Derby scored first, in the 53rd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 53' D. Gayle, assisted by J. Ward → 1-0; 56' S. Smith → 1-1; 70' C. Hourihane (penalty) → 2-1.
Andy Yiadom (Reading) was sent off in the 59th minute; yellow cards: Derby 3, Reading 6.
Statistical comparison
Shots 18-5 (7-1 on target); possession 55%-45%; corners 7-2; pass accuracy 67%-64%.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 2-1 in the second.
Standout players
D. Gayle was Derby's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 72 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, 1 key pass, won 4 of 9 duels.
S. Smith was Reading's highest-rated player at 7.0 in 81 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, won 4 of 13 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
12 March 2024: the League One matchday 38 match ended Derby 2-1 Reading. Goals: D. Gayle 53', S. Smith 56', C. Hourihane 70' (pen). Match stats: possession Derby 55%, Reading 45%; shots on target 7-1.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.