Derby 0-1 Millwall
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: F. Tomori 7.9 · S. Hutchinson 7.4 · M. Romeo 7.3
Match analysis
5 sections06:56Derby lost to Millwall 0-1 in the Championship matchday 29 on 20 February 2019.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Millwall scored first, in the 72nd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 72' J. Wallace, assisted by S. Ferguson → 0-1.
Yellow cards: Derby 2, Millwall 3.
Statistical comparison
Shots 13-4 (1-1 on target); possession 65%-35%; corners 6-1; pass accuracy 82%-65%.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 0-1 in the second.
Standout players
F. Tomori was Derby's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, 2 tackles, won 12 of 15 duels.
S. Hutchinson was Millwall's highest-rated player at 7.4 in 90 minutes: won 4 of 6 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Derby vs Millwall (Championship matchday 29, 20 February 2019) finished 0-1. Goals: J. Wallace 72'. Match stats: possession Derby 65%, Millwall 35%; shots on target 1-1.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.