Derby 1-2 Millwall
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: S. Hutchinson 7.5 · J. Knight 7.2 · R. Morrison 7.2
Match analysis
5 sections19:36Derby lost to Millwall 1-2 in the Championship matchday 34 on 23 February 2022.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-2 at half-time. Millwall scored first, in the 2nd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 2' J. Wallace → 0-1; 30' T. Burey → 0-2; 88' J. Cooper (own goal) → 0-3.
Yellow cards: Derby 1, Millwall 1.
Statistical comparison
Shots 14-8 (3-4 on target); possession 66%-34%; corners 9-1; pass accuracy 81%-68%.
Goals by half: 0-2 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
J. Knight was Derby's highest-rated player at 7.2 in 90 minutes: 1 key pass, 2 tackles, won 7 of 10 duels.
S. Hutchinson was Millwall's highest-rated player at 7.5 in 90 minutes: won 6 of 8 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Derby vs Millwall (Championship matchday 34, 23 February 2022) finished 1-2. Goals: J. Wallace 2', T. Burey 30', J. Cooper 88' (o.g.). Match stats: possession Derby 66%, Millwall 34%; shots on target 3-4.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.