Derby 3-0 Millwall
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: D. Nugent 9.2 · C. Baird 8.3 · R. Keogh 7.7
Match analysis
5 sections17:39Derby beat Millwall 3-0 in the Championship matchday 23 on 23 December 2017.
Read more ›Close
Result and story of the match
It was 3-0 at half-time. Derby scored first, in the 23rd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 23' D. Nugent, assisted by C. Baird → 1-0; 25' M. Vydra, assisted by D. Nugent → 2-0; 28' D. Nugent, assisted by B. Johnson → 3-0.
Yellow cards: Derby 0, Millwall 1.
Statistical comparison
Shots 14-13 (6-3 on target); possession 51%-49%; corners 6-11; pass accuracy 77%-69%.
Goals by half: 3-0 in the first, 0-0 in the second.
Standout players
D. Nugent was Derby's highest-rated player at 9.2 in 72 minutes: 2 goals, 1 assist, 3 shots on target, 3 key passes, won 1 of 7 duels.
G. Saville was Millwall's highest-rated player at 7.2 in 90 minutes: 2 key passes, won 8 of 14 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
23 December 2017: the Championship matchday 23 match ended Derby 3-0 Millwall. Goals: D. Nugent 23', M. Vydra 25', D. Nugent 28'. Match stats: possession Derby 51%, Millwall 49%; shots on target 6-3.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.