Derby 1-1 Coventry
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: T. Lawrence 7.9 · M. Ebiowei 7.9 · S. Moore 7.6
Match analysis
5 sections15:42Derby drew with Coventry 1-1 in the Championship matchday 39 on 19 March 2022.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-1 at half-time. Derby levelled after the break. Coventry scored first, in the 28th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 28' M. Godden, assisted by C. O'Hare → 0-1; 67' T. Lawrence (penalty) → 1-1.
Yellow cards: Derby 1, Coventry 3.
Statistical comparison
Shots 15-13 (6-6 on target); possession 54%-46%; corners 7-10; pass accuracy 78%-73%.
Goals by half: 0-1 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
T. Lawrence was Derby's highest-rated player at 7.9 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 3 shots on target, 3 key passes, 1 tackle, won 3 of 14 duels.
S. Moore was Coventry's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 90 minutes: 5 saves, won 2 of 2 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Derby vs Coventry (Championship matchday 39, 19 March 2022) finished 1-1. Goals: M. Godden 28', T. Lawrence 67' (pen). Match stats: possession Derby 54%, Coventry 46%; shots on target 6-6.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.