Dender 1-3 Gent
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: F. Ferraro 7.7 · A. Kadri 7.7 · T. De Vlieger 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections16:4622 March 2026: the Jupiler Pro League matchday 30 match ended Dender 1-3 Gent.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Gent scored first, in the 11th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 11' M. Dean, assisted by W. Kanga → 0-1; 14' F. Ferraro, assisted by M. Sambu → 1-1; 65' A. Kadri, assisted by M. Skoras → 1-2; 89' W. Kanga → 1-3.
VAR intervened 1 time; yellow cards: Dender 2, Gent 2.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Dender 0.71, Gent 2.21; shots 15-12 (4-8 on target); possession 55%-45%; corners 6-3; pass accuracy 81%-78%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 1.50.
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 0-2 in the second.
Standout players
F. Ferraro was Dender's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 79 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, 1 key pass, 3 tackles, won 8 of 13 duels.
A. Kadri was Gent's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 29 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, 1 key pass, won 1 of 3 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Dender vs Gent (Jupiler Pro League matchday 30, 22 March 2026) finished 1-3. Goals: M. Dean 11', F. Ferraro 14', A. Kadri 65', W. Kanga 89'. Match stats: possession Dender 55%, Gent 45%; shots on target 4-8; expected goals (xG) 0.71-2.21.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.