Dender 1-2 Genk
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: D. Heymans 8.9 · T. Lawal 8.2 · B. Heynen 7.6
Match analysis
5 sections18:53Dender lost to Genk 1-2 in the Jupiler Pro League matchday 23 on 1 February 2026.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-2 at half-time. Genk scored first, in the 3rd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 3' D. Heymans, assisted by J. Ito → 0-1; 8' D. Heymans, assisted by K. Karetsas → 0-2; 58' B. Nsimba → 1-2.
Yellow cards: Dender 4, Genk 1.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Dender 2.81, Genk 1.07; shots 22-8 (7-4 on target); possession 51%-49%; corners 8-2; pass accuracy 82%-82%.
Dender created the better chances, but the scoreline did not reflect it.
Goals by half: 0-2 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
N. Mbamba was Dender's highest-rated player at 7.3 in 90 minutes: 2 tackles, won 9 of 16 duels.
D. Heymans was Genk's highest-rated player at 8.9 in 83 minutes: 2 goals, 2 shots on target, 1 key pass, 4 tackles, won 11 of 18 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
1 February 2026: the Jupiler Pro League matchday 23 match ended Dender 1-2 Genk. Goals: D. Heymans 3', D. Heymans 8', B. Nsimba 58'. Match stats: possession Dender 51%, Genk 49%; shots on target 7-4; expected goals (xG) 2.81-1.07.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.