Defensor Sporting 0-2 Penarol
Primera División · Torneo Intermedio - 2Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Match analysis
5 sections12:03Defensor Sporting lost to Penarol 0-2 in the Primera División on 24 May 2026.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Penarol scored first, in the 48th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 48' M. Arezo (penalty) → 0-1; 90' D. Laxalt → 0-2.
Yellow cards: Defensor Sporting 3, Penarol 4.
Statistical comparison
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 0-2 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: M. Arezo, D. Laxalt.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Defensor Sporting 31%, draw 30%, Penarol 39%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Defensor Sporting lost to Penarol 0-2 in the Primera División on 24 May 2026. Goals: M. Arezo 48' (pen), D. Laxalt 90'.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.