Defensor Sporting 0-2 Penarol
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: W. Aguerre 7.6 · L. Fernández 7.6 · N. Acosta 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections11:1618 May 2024: the Primera División match ended Defensor Sporting 0-2 Penarol.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-1 at half-time. Penarol scored first, in the 22nd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 22' M. Silvera → 0-1; 90+5' N. Acosta → 0-2.
Yellow cards: Defensor Sporting 3, Penarol 2.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Defensor Sporting 1.31, Penarol 1.89; shots 12-9 (4-4 on target); possession 62%-38%; corners 8-3; pass accuracy 82%-74%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 0.58.
Goals by half: 0-1 in the first, 0-1 in the second.
Standout players
R. Giampaoli was Defensor Sporting's highest-rated player at 7.3 in 90 minutes: 2 key passes, 1 tackle, won 13 of 19 duels.
W. Aguerre was Penarol's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 90 minutes: 4 saves.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Defensor Sporting vs Penarol (Primera División, 18 May 2024) finished 0-2. Goals: M. Silvera 22', N. Acosta 90+5'. Match stats: possession Defensor Sporting 62%, Penarol 38%; shots on target 4-4; expected goals (xG) 1.31-1.89.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.