Defensor Sporting 2-1 Cerro
Primera División · Torneo Intermedio - 7Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Match analysis
5 sections01:573 August 2026: the Primera División match ended Defensor Sporting 2-1 Cerro.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Cerro scored first, in the 30th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 30' J. Amaro → 0-1; 33' M. Rabunal → 1-1; 85' L. Navarro → 2-1.
Yellow cards: Defensor Sporting 3, Cerro 3.
Statistical comparison
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: J. Amaro, M. Rabunal, L. Navarro.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Defensor Sporting 55%, draw 28%, Cerro 17%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
3 August 2026: the Primera División match ended Defensor Sporting 2-1 Cerro. Goals: J. Amaro 30', M. Rabunal 33', L. Navarro 85'.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.