Defensor Sporting 2-3 Bolívar
CONMEBOL Libertadores · Round 1
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: G. Nápoli 8.0 · Thomaz Santos 7.7 · L. Gutiérrez 7.6
Match analysis
5 sections14:5830 January 2019: the CONMEBOL Libertadores match ended Defensor Sporting 2-3 Bolívar.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-3 at half-time. Defensor Sporting scored first, in the 2nd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 2' Martín Rabuñal, assisted by Joaquín Piquerez → 1-0; 33' Adriano Jusino, assisted by Luis Alberto Gutierrez → 1-1; 37' Juan Arce → 1-2; 43' Thomaz Santos → 1-3; 90' Gonzalo Napoli Soria → 2-3.
Jorge Pereyra Diaz (Bolívar) was sent off in the 77th minute; Maximiliano Perg (Defensor Sporting) was sent off in the 79th minute; yellow cards: Defensor Sporting 5, Bolívar 1.
Statistical comparison
Shots 18-17 (8-7 on target); possession 34%-66%; corners 2-2; pass accuracy 71%-86%.
Goals by half: 1-3 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
G. Nápoli was Defensor Sporting's highest-rated player at 8.0 in 35 minutes: 1 goal, 4 shots on target, 2 key passes, 1 tackle, won 2 of 2 duels.
Thomaz Santos was Bolívar's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, 3 key passes, 2 tackles, won 9 of 15 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Defensor Sporting lost to Bolívar 2-3 in the CONMEBOL Libertadores on 30 January 2019. Goals: Martín Rabuñal 2', Adriano Jusino 33', Juan Arce 37', Thomaz Santos 43', Gonzalo Napoli Soria 90'. Match stats: possession Defensor Sporting 34%, Bolívar 66%; shots on target 8-7.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.