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Defensor Sporting 1-3 Atletico Torque

Primera División · Clausura - 4
3'Agazzi
Kagelmacher11'Rodriguez (P)30'Obregon59'
Estadio Luis Franzini, MontevideoReferee J. FeresSat 29 Aug 2026, 23:00capacity 18,000

Model accuracy

Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track record

There was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.

The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?

Highlight 1
0–3 goals
76%
Clearleague base 78%calibrated
retrospective miss
The model sees no second or third clear market here; weak estimates are not added.
Match result · DEF 42% · X 28% · ATO 31%Predicted score 1-0 · Most likely: 1-1 13% · 1-0 12% · 0-1 10%All markets ›

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.

All match events

17All ›
Kick-off · 23:00
3'
L. AgazziGoal1-0
11'
1-1G. KagelmacherGoal
25'
Martín RabuñalYellow card
30'
1-2S. RodriguezPenalty
Half-time 1-2
46'
L. de los SantosOn · M. Rabunal off
46'
N. WunschOn · E. Cuello off
59'
1-3E. ObregonGoal
64'
Esteban ObregónYellow card
71'
F. CastroOn · A. Torterolo off
71'
A. PerdomoOn · T. A. Pozzo off
72'
R. LecchiniOn · L. Andrade off
77'
F. PizzichilloOn · D. Guzman off
81'
J. NerisOn · B. Montenegro off
87'
Kevin SilvaYellow card
89'
J. TaranOn · S. Rodriguez off
89'
L. DureOn · K. Silva off
89'
N. Da SilvaOn · E. Obregon off
Full time 1-3

Match stats

No stats yet.

Starting XIs

4-3-3 · 4-3-3Line-ups ›
Defensor Sporting
4-3-3
Coach Mauricio LarrieraBench 10
Atletico Torque
4-3-3
Coach Marcelo MendezBench 10
Your predictionFull time 1-3
DEF
–
ATO
–
Model: 1-0 (12%)
No prediction · Locked 23:00

Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.

Match analysis

5 sections01:13

Defensor Sporting lost to Atletico Torque 1-3 in the Primera División on 29 August 2026.

Read more ›Close

Result and story of the match

It was 1-2 at half-time. Defensor Sporting scored first, in the 3rd minute.

Goals and key moments

Goals: 3' L. Agazzi → 1-0; 11' G. Kagelmacher → 1-1; 30' S. Rodriguez (penalty) → 1-2; 59' E. Obregon → 1-3.

Yellow cards: Defensor Sporting 1, Atletico Torque 2.

Statistical comparison

Goals by half: 1-2 in the first, 0-1 in the second.

Standout players

Goal scorers: L. Agazzi, G. Kagelmacher, S. Rodriguez, E. Obregon.

How the model did

There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.

Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Defensor Sporting 42%, draw 28%, Atletico Torque 31%.

Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.

Match summary

Defensor Sporting lost to Atletico Torque 1-3 in the Primera División on 29 August 2026. Goals: L. Agazzi 3', G. Kagelmacher 11', S. Rodriguez 30' (pen), E. Obregon 59'.

Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record

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