Cuiaba 0-1 Fluminense
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Fábio 8.2 · Thiago Santos 7.6 · J. Arias 7.6
Match analysis
5 sections20:02Cuiaba lost to Fluminense 0-1 in the Serie A matchday 18 on 21 July 2024.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Fluminense scored first, in the 73rd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 73' Kauã Elias, assisted by J. Arias → 0-1.
Guga (Fluminense) was sent off in the -5th minute; yellow cards: Cuiaba 1, Fluminense 2.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Cuiaba 0.64, Fluminense 1.29; shots 16-10 (6-4 on target); possession 47%-53%; corners 6-4; pass accuracy 86%-87%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 0.65.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 0-1 in the second.
Standout players
Marllon was Cuiaba's highest-rated player at 7.2 in 90 minutes: 4 tackles, won 9 of 9 duels.
Fábio was Fluminense's highest-rated player at 8.2 in 90 minutes: 6 saves.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Cuiaba lost to Fluminense 0-1 in the Serie A matchday 18 on 21 July 2024. Goals: Kauã Elias 73'. Match stats: possession Cuiaba 47%, Fluminense 53%; shots on target 6-4; expected goals (xG) 0.64-1.29.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.