Cuiaba 3-0 Fluminense
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Alan Empereur 7.6 · Raniele 7.5 · Deyverson 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections22:37Cuiaba beat Fluminense 3-0 in the Serie A matchday 25 on 30 September 2023.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Cuiaba scored first, in the 57th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 57' Clayson, assisted by Ronald → 1-0; 64' Alan Empereur, assisted by Deyverson → 2-0; 87' Fernando Sobral, assisted by Jonathan Cafú → 3-0.
Matheus Martinelli (Fluminense) was sent off in the 40th minute; yellow cards: Cuiaba 3, Fluminense 4.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Cuiaba 1.13, Fluminense 0.26; shots 16-7 (6-2 on target); possession 60%-40%; corners 7-0; pass accuracy 89%-86%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 0.87.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 3-0 in the second.
Standout players
Alan Empereur was Cuiaba's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, 1 tackle, won 2 of 5 duels.
Lima was Fluminense's highest-rated player at 6.9 in 90 minutes: won 7 of 9 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
30 September 2023: the Serie A matchday 25 match ended Cuiaba 3-0 Fluminense. Goals: Clayson 57', Alan Empereur 64', Fernando Sobral 87'. Match stats: possession Cuiaba 60%, Fluminense 40%; shots on target 6-2; expected goals (xG) 1.13-0.26.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.