Cuiaba 2-0 CRB
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Standouts: Pepê 8.2 · Vinicius Peixoto 8.2 · João Basso 8.1
Match analysis
5 sections16:10Cuiaba beat CRB 2-0 in the Serie B matchday 11 on 31 May 2026.
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Result and story of the match
It was 2-0 at half-time. Cuiaba scored first, in the 34th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 34' Vinicius Peixoto, assisted by Joao Basso → 1-0; 38' Pepe → 2-0.
Yellow cards: Cuiaba 2, CRB 0.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Cuiaba 1.68, CRB 0.58; shots 15-14 (8-4 on target); possession 40%-60%; corners 7-4; pass accuracy 82%-87%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 1.10.
Goals by half: 2-0 in the first, 0-0 in the second.
Standout players
Pepê was Cuiaba's highest-rated player at 8.2 in 72 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, won 3 of 4 duels.
Vitor Caetano was CRB's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 90 minutes: 6 saves.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Cuiaba 47%, draw 30%, CRB 23%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Cuiaba vs CRB (Serie B matchday 11, 31 May 2026) finished 2-0. Goals: Vinicius Peixoto 34', Pepe 38'. Match stats: possession Cuiaba 40%, CRB 60%; shots on target 8-4; expected goals (xG) 1.68-0.58.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.