Cuiaba 0-2 Ceara
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Juan Alano 9.0 · Richard 8.7 · Calebe 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections05:31Cuiaba lost to Ceara 0-2 in the Serie B matchday 3 on 4 April 2026.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-0 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Ceara scored first, in the 71st minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 71' Juan Alano, assisted by Wendel Silva → 0-1; 79' Juan Alano, assisted by Joao Gabriel → 0-2.
Rodrigo missed a penalty in the 61st minute; Mateus Santos missed a penalty in the 90th minute; yellow cards: Cuiaba 0, Ceara 4.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Cuiaba 2.23, Ceara 1.48; shots 16-7 (6-2 on target); possession 65%-35%; corners 1-2; pass accuracy 89%-80%.
Cuiaba created the better chances, but the scoreline did not reflect it.
Goals by half: 0-0 in the first, 0-2 in the second.
Standout players
Calebe was Cuiaba's highest-rated player at 7.5 in 90 minutes: 3 tackles, won 4 of 8 duels.
Juan Alano was Ceara's highest-rated player at 9.0 in 84 minutes: 2 goals, 2 shots on target, 1 key pass, won 1 of 5 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Cuiaba lost to Ceara 0-2 in the Serie B matchday 3 on 4 April 2026. Goals: Juan Alano 71', Juan Alano 79'. Match stats: possession Cuiaba 65%, Ceara 35%; shots on target 6-2; expected goals (xG) 2.23-1.48.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.