Cucuta 1-1 Junior
Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Standouts: L. Hernández 8.2 · L. Muriel 8.0 · L. Berdugo 7.7
Match analysis
5 sections09:00Cucuta drew with Junior 1-1 in the Primera A on 24 April 2026.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. Junior scored first, in the 32nd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 32' L. Muriel, assisted by B. Castrillon → 0-1; 37' L. Hernandez, assisted by L. Berdugo → 1-1.
Yellow cards: Cucuta 1, Junior 2.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Cucuta 1.43, Junior 0.22.
Cucuta created the better chances, but the scoreline did not reflect it.
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 0-0 in the second.
Standout players
L. Hernández was Cucuta's highest-rated player at 8.2 in 59 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 2 key passes, won 1 of 4 duels.
L. Muriel was Junior's highest-rated player at 8.0 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, 1 tackle, won 2 of 5 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): Cucuta 32%, draw 25%, Junior 43%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
24 April 2026: the Primera A match ended Cucuta 1-1 Junior. Goals: L. Muriel 32', L. Hernandez 37'. Match stats: expected goals (xG) 1.43-0.22.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.