CSKA Sofia 5-0 Botev Vratsa
First League · Matchweek 5Model accuracy
Retrospective model estimate · generated after the match, not in the track recordThere was no estimate locked before kick-off for this match. The model was run after the match using only data known before kick-off (the result was not used); it is not counted in the track record or accuracy stats.
The 3 clearest pre-match estimates and how they turned out. How are these chosen?
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match stats
Match analysis
5 sections10:0816 August 2026: the First League matchday 5 match ended CSKA Sofia 5-0 Botev Vratsa.
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Result and story of the match
It was 2-0 at half-time. CSKA Sofia scored first, in the 12th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 12' J. Zwarts, assisted by C. Itu → 1-0; 38' P. Panayotov, assisted by C. Itu → 2-0; 65' T. Ivanov, assisted by J. Zwarts → 3-0; 72' J. Zwarts, assisted by A. Yordanov → 4-0; 79' L. Godoy, assisted by F. Lapoukhov → 5-0.
Cătălin Itu (CSKA Sofia) was sent off in the 45th minute; yellow cards: CSKA Sofia 1, Botev Vratsa 3.
Statistical comparison
Shots 19-11 (11-4 on target); possession 48%-52%; corners 7-5.
Goals by half: 2-0 in the first, 3-0 in the second.
Standout players
Goal scorers: J. Zwarts, P. Panayotov, T. Ivanov, L. Godoy.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Retrospective model estimate (generated after the match from pre-match data only; not part of the track record): CSKA Sofia 71%, draw 20%, Botev Vratsa 9%.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
16 August 2026: the First League matchday 5 match ended CSKA Sofia 5-0 Botev Vratsa. Goals: J. Zwarts 12', P. Panayotov 38', T. Ivanov 65', J. Zwarts 72', L. Godoy 79'. Match stats: possession CSKA Sofia 48%, Botev Vratsa 52%; shots on target 11-4.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology, Track record
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.