CSKA Sofia 3-0 Botev Vratsa
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: T. Heintz 8.9 · T. Vion 8.5 · H. Petrov 8.0
Match analysis
5 sections15:44CSKA Sofia beat Botev Vratsa 3-0 in the First League matchday 21 on 18 February 2024.
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Result and story of the match
It was 2-0 at half-time. CSKA Sofia scored first, in the 21st minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 21' T. Vion → 1-0; 36' T. Heintz → 2-0; 61' T. Vion → 3-0.
Yellow cards: CSKA Sofia 3, Botev Vratsa 2.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) CSKA Sofia 3.52, Botev Vratsa 0.40; shots 27-8 (9-1 on target); possession 63%-37%; corners 10-5; pass accuracy 82%-69%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 3.12.
Goals by half: 2-0 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
T. Heintz was CSKA Sofia's highest-rated player at 8.9 in 83 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 6 key passes, won 7 of 22 duels.
F. Barrios was Botev Vratsa's highest-rated player at 7.6 in 90 minutes: 7 saves.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
18 February 2024: the First League matchday 21 match ended CSKA Sofia 3-0 Botev Vratsa. Goals: T. Vion 21', T. Heintz 36', T. Vion 61'. Match stats: possession CSKA Sofia 63%, Botev Vratsa 37%; shots on target 9-1; expected goals (xG) 3.52-0.40.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.