CSKA Sofia 4-0 Botev Plovdiv
First League · Matchweek 25Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: Fernando Karanga 8.9 · T. Vion 8.7 · Busatto 8.2
Match analysis
5 sections21:4117 March 2024: the First League matchday 25 match ended CSKA Sofia 4-0 Botev Plovdiv.
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Result and story of the match
It was 3-0 at half-time. CSKA Sofia scored first, in the 25th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 25' J. Lindseth → 1-0; 33' Fernando Karanga → 2-0; 42' Fernando Karanga → 3-0; 65' M. Phaëton → 4-0.
Yellow cards: CSKA Sofia 3, Botev Plovdiv 4.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) CSKA Sofia 1.66, Botev Plovdiv 0.97; shots 13-14 (10-6 on target); possession 43%-57%; corners 8-8; pass accuracy 79%-81%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 0.69.
Goals by half: 3-0 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
Fernando Karanga was CSKA Sofia's highest-rated player at 8.9 in 90 minutes: 2 goals, 3 shots on target, 1 key pass, won 10 of 27 duels.
U. Emmanuel was Botev Plovdiv's highest-rated player at 7.3 in 74 minutes: 1 shot on target, won 9 of 23 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv (First League matchday 25, 17 March 2024) finished 4-0. Goals: J. Lindseth 25', Fernando Karanga 33', Fernando Karanga 42', M. Phaëton 65'. Match stats: possession CSKA Sofia 43%, Botev Plovdiv 57%; shots on target 10-6; expected goals (xG) 1.66-0.97.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.