CSKA Sofia 2-1 Beroe
First League · Conference League Play-off Group - 5Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: O. Skarsem 8.3 · Z. Bytyqi 8.2 · A. Salido Tajero 8.0
Match analysis
5 sections02:0917 May 2025: the First League play-off match ended CSKA Sofia 2-1 Beroe.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Beroe scored first, in the 10th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 10' Alberto Salido → 0-1; 18' S. Shopov → 1-1; 84' Adrián Lapeña → 2-1.
Yellow cards: CSKA Sofia 0, Beroe 2.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) CSKA Sofia 1.44, Beroe 0.59; shots 21-10 (7-5 on target); possession 70%-30%; corners 5-5; pass accuracy 87%-79%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 0.85.
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
O. Skarsem was CSKA Sofia's highest-rated player at 8.3 in 79 minutes: 1 assist, 2 shots on target, 3 key passes, won 13 of 30 duels.
A. Salido Tajero was Beroe's highest-rated player at 8.0 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 2 shots on target, 1 key pass, won 7 of 19 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
17 May 2025: the First League play-off match ended CSKA Sofia 2-1 Beroe. Goals: Alberto Salido 10', S. Shopov 18', Adrián Lapeña 84'. Match stats: possession CSKA Sofia 70%, Beroe 30%; shots on target 7-5; expected goals (xG) 1.44-0.59.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.