CSKA Sofia 3-0 Beroe
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: M. Phaëton 9.7 · S. Shopov 9.2 · T. Vion 8.0
Match analysis
5 sections01:443 March 2024: the First League matchday 23 match ended CSKA Sofia 3-0 Beroe.
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Result and story of the match
It was 2-0 at half-time. CSKA Sofia scored first, in the 3rd minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 3' S. Shopov → 1-0; 32' M. Phaëton → 2-0; 48' S. Shopov → 3-0.
Franco Ramos Mingo (Beroe) was sent off in the 17th minute; yellow cards: CSKA Sofia 1, Beroe 3.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) CSKA Sofia 2.01, Beroe 0.76; shots 22-6 (10-1 on target); possession 66%-34%; corners 8-1; pass accuracy 85%-67%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 1.25.
Goals by half: 2-0 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
M. Phaëton was CSKA Sofia's highest-rated player at 9.7 in 70 minutes: 1 goal, 1 assist, 2 shots on target, 4 key passes, won 14 of 20 duels.
Arthur was Beroe's highest-rated player at 6.9 in 90 minutes: 7 saves.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
CSKA Sofia beat Beroe 3-0 in the First League matchday 23 on 3 March 2024. Goals: S. Shopov 3', M. Phaëton 32', S. Shopov 48'. Match stats: possession CSKA Sofia 66%, Beroe 34%; shots on target 10-1; expected goals (xG) 2.01-0.76.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology


Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.