Crewe 2-1 Oldham
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: M. Holíček 8.3 · R. Hutchinson 8.2 · K. Drummond 7.7
Match analysis
5 sections14:4328 March 2026: the League Two matchday 40 match ended Crewe 2-1 Oldham.
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Result and story of the match
It was 1-1 at half-time. The decisive goals came after the interval. Oldham scored first, in the 29th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 29' K. Drummond, assisted by K. Payne → 0-1; 33' R. Hutchinson, assisted by M. Holicek → 1-1; 90' M. Holicek → 2-1.
Yellow cards: Crewe 4, Oldham 0.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Crewe 1.30, Oldham 1.67; shots 18-23 (7-4 on target); possession 47%-53%; corners 6-4; pass accuracy 68%-65%.
Goals by half: 1-1 in the first, 1-0 in the second.
Standout players
M. Holíček was Crewe's highest-rated player at 8.3 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 assist, 1 shot on target, 1 key pass, 1 tackle, won 3 of 4 duels.
K. Drummond was Oldham's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 2 key passes, 4 tackles, won 12 of 23 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
Crewe beat Oldham 2-1 in the League Two matchday 40 on 28 March 2026. Goals: K. Drummond 29', R. Hutchinson 33', M. Holicek 90'. Match stats: possession Crewe 47%, Oldham 53%; shots on target 7-4; expected goals (xG) 1.30-1.67.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.