Coventry 2-1 Millwall
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: H. Wright 8.6 · C. O'Hare 7.6 · T. Sakamoto 7.3
Match analysis
5 sections04:3411 February 2024: the Championship matchday 31 match ended Coventry 2-1 Millwall.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-1 at half-time. Coventry came from behind in the second half to win. Millwall scored first, in the 12th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 12' R. Esse, assisted by Z. Flemming → 0-1; 67' H. Wright (penalty) → 1-1; 70' H. Wright, assisted by C. O'Hare → 2-1.
Yellow cards: Coventry 0, Millwall 1.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Coventry 1.90, Millwall 0.87; shots 15-8 (5-4 on target); possession 62%-38%; corners 8-3; pass accuracy 82%-71%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 1.03.
Goals by half: 0-1 in the first, 2-0 in the second.
Standout players
H. Wright was Coventry's highest-rated player at 8.6 in 90 minutes: 2 goals, 2 shots on target, 1 key pass, won 5 of 11 duels.
R. Esse was Millwall's highest-rated player at 7.2 in 63 minutes: 1 goal, 1 shot on target, 1 tackle, won 1 of 2 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
11 February 2024: the Championship matchday 31 match ended Coventry 2-1 Millwall. Goals: R. Esse 12', H. Wright 67' (pen), H. Wright 70'. Match stats: possession Coventry 62%, Millwall 38%; shots on target 5-4; expected goals (xG) 1.90-0.87.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology
Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.