Coventry 3-2 Luton
Model accuracy
Match stats
Standouts: H. Wright 8.3 · T. Kaminski 7.7 · J. Eccles 7.5
Match analysis
5 sections00:3526 October 2024: the Championship matchday 12 match ended Coventry 3-2 Luton.
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Result and story of the match
It was 0-2 at half-time. Coventry came from behind in the second half to win. Luton scored first, in the 15th minute.
Goals and key moments
Goals: 15' C. Morris (penalty) → 0-1; 37' E. Adebayo, assisted by T. Krauß → 0-2; 59' E. Simms, assisted by J. Rudoni → 1-2; 76' V. Torp, assisted by B. Sheaf → 2-2; 90+1' H. Wright → 3-2.
Thomas Holmes (Luton) was sent off in the 90th minute; yellow cards: Coventry 2, Luton 5.
Statistical comparison
Expected goals (xG) Coventry 3.34, Luton 1.71; shots 26-9 (10-5 on target); possession 67%-33%; corners 11-5; pass accuracy 82%-62%.
Chance quality backed up the result: an xG gap of 1.63.
Goals by half: 0-2 in the first, 3-0 in the second.
Standout players
H. Wright was Coventry's highest-rated player at 8.3 in 90 minutes: 1 goal, 3 shots on target, 4 key passes, 2 tackles, won 9 of 22 duels.
T. Kaminski was Luton's highest-rated player at 7.7 in 90 minutes: 7 saves, won 1 of 1 duels.
How the model did
There was no model estimate locked before kick-off for this match, so it is not part of the track record.
Statistical model estimate; for information and entertainment only.
Match summary
26 October 2024: the Championship matchday 12 match ended Coventry 3-2 Luton. Goals: C. Morris 15' (pen), E. Adebayo 37', E. Simms 59', V. Torp 76', H. Wright 90+1'. Match stats: possession Coventry 67%, Luton 33%; shots on target 10-5; expected goals (xG) 3.34-1.71.
Updated: · Sources: Methodology




Points are only for rankings and badges; they have no other value.The model's score is now the “predicted score”: a pick that agrees with the match outcome and follows the real score distribution over a season (previously the single most likely score). Past points are unchanged.